US CPI

How Bitcoin and Ether moved after US CPI releases

How far Bitcoin and Ether moved in the hour after each of the last eight US inflation prints, and whether that hour was unusual for them.

Next release

CPI for October 2026: November 10,

See the consensus forecast. Forecasts come from other people’s surveys, so we link to them instead of copying them.

The last eight releases

CPI for September 2026

Released October 14, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.6%, up from 0.4%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.3%, same as 0.3%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.7%, up from 3.4%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.6%, up from 2.4%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp-1.42%8.3x a normal hourOne way83,08282,350
ETH perp-1.80%9.1x a normal hourOne way2,4922,457
83,82983,06982,30981,54981,619

CPI for August 2026

Released September 11, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.4%, up from 0.1%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.3%, up from 0.2%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.4%, same as 3.4%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.4%, down from 2.5%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp+0.56%2.5x a normal hourReversed78,02376,390
ETH perp+1.46%3.5x a normal hourOne way2,5132,439
79,51678,59377,67176,74877,178

CPI for July 2026

Released August 12, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.1%, up from -0.4%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.2%, up from 0.0%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.4%, down from 3.5%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.5%, down from 2.6%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp-0.70%4.1x a normal hourOne way64,28163,895
ETH perp-0.79%3.4x a normal hourOne way1,9161,905
64,38764,03863,68963,34063,411

CPI for June 2026

Released July 14, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) -0.4%, down from 0.5%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.0%, down from 0.2%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.5%, down from 4.2%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.6%, down from 2.9%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp+1.58%3.9x a normal hourOne way64,09763,363
ETH perp+4.36%9.9x a normal hourOne way1,8821,817
64,85564,10863,36062,61364,513

CPI for May 2026

Released June 10, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.5%, down from 0.6%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.2%, down from 0.4%
  • CPI (YoY) 4.2%, up from 3.8%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.9%, up from 2.8%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp+0.63%2.4x a normal hourOne way61,83961,413
ETH perp+0.73%3.0x a normal hourOne way1,6421,632
62,79962,17861,55660,93562,000

CPI for April 2026

Released May 12, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.6%, down from 0.9%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.4%, up from 0.2%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.8%, up from 3.3%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.8%, up from 2.6%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp-0.19%1.3x a normal hourReversed80,96080,598
ETH perp-0.27%1.5x a normal hourOne way2,2932,280
80,95480,61680,27879,94080,465

CPI for March 2026

Released April 10, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.9%, up from 0.3%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.2%, same as 0.2%
  • CPI (YoY) 3.3%, up from 2.4%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.6%, up from 2.5%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp+0.11%0.8x a normal hourNo clear reaction72,37572,131
ETH perp+0.07%0.3x a normal hourNo clear reaction2,2262,216
73,22572,71772,20871,70072,956

CPI for February 2026

Released March 11, , as currently reported

  • CPI (MoM) 0.3%, up from 0.2%
  • Core CPI (MoM) 0.2%, down from 0.3%
  • CPI (YoY) 2.4%, same as 2.4%
  • Core CPI (YoY) 2.5%, same as 2.5%
MarketFirst hourAgainst a normal hourWhat happenedHighLow
BTC perp+1.10%3.4x a normal hourOne way70,28469,144
ETH perp+0.98%2.2x a normal hourOne way2,0452,019
71,22370,47769,73268,98670,670

How we measure

We take each market’s price in the minute before the release and compare it with its price an hour later.

To tell a big move from an ordinary one, we compare it with that market’s typical move over the same hour of the New York day across the 20 days before. Less than one normal hour counts as no clear reaction.

A move that kept less than half of its biggest swing by the end of the hour is marked reversed. Otherwise it went one way. Highs and lows are minute closing prices, so one stray trade can’t set them.

Figures: U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics. Prices: Hyperliquid BTC and ETH perpetuals, from Hyperliquid’s public trade archive and market data.

Past market moves, not investment advice.

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